Everything We Know about this Supreme Court

Batting Average

All-time average: Tom (0.700), Ruchit (0.664), AJ (0.527)1

  1. Methodology: For the vote score, We take the average of the votes we thought would go for the side that won divided by the votes that side actually got. We weight that 90% and weight the correct-result average at 10%. 

This page keeps track of our predictions on how the Supreme Court will decide cases before it. We are going to hold ourselves accountable by tracking the accuracy of those predictions. As a caveat, Supreme Court cases are a lot more complicated than a brief summary table can provide or can be predicted by saying one party or the other will win.1 All to say that this is a fun game and shouldn't be taken as anything other than a fun game.

  1. Sometimes, the Court will decide on issues completely unforseen in the briefings. Sometimes, the Court will vacate because of some thing the lower court did or did not do. Once in a blue moon, the Court will dismiss as improvidently granted. Nor can our 'Results' section adequately reflect what the Court actually did. For example, in Expressions Hair Design v. Schneiderman, the Court vacated and remanded because the lower court didn't adequately consider the First Amendment issue. Technically, the hairstylists won, but ultimately will they win on the free speech issue? Who knows. 

CaseEpisodeAppellant VictoryAppellee VictoryResult

Class v. United States1

  1. Does a guilty plea inherently waive a defendant’s right to challenge the constitutionality of his conviction? 


9-0 Class9-0 Class9-0 Class

Jesner v. Arab Bank, PLC1

  1. Does the Alien Tort Statute prohibit corporate liability? 


5-4 Jesner

8-1 Arab Bank6-3 Arab Bank

Jennings v. Rodriguez1

  1. Do non-citizens have a right to bond hearings in immigration proceedings? And if so, does the Government have to prove by clear and convincing evidence that the non-citizen is not a flight risk? And should detainees get a bond hearing every six months automatically? 


9-0 ICE

5-4 Rodriguez6-3 Rodriguez

Gill v. Whitford1

  1. Is there an articulable standard for regulate partisan gerrymandering? 


5-4 Whitford5-4 Whitford5-4 Whitford

Epic Systems Corp. v. Lewis1

  1. Does the National Labor Relations Act prohibit enforcement of an agreement requiring employees to resolve disputes with the employer through individual arbitration under the Federal Arbitration Act? 


6-3 Epic5-4 Epic9-0 Epic